I've done a little number crunching, trying to come up with how many miles I think I can do at FANS. The results: 96, 104, 105, 107, 107, 113, 118. Seven formulas suggesting 107, give or take. The problem is that I'm basing everything on previous races, which were on tough trails and were much much shorter. Does my lack of ability on trails make up for my lack of ability after 50 miles?
They say that after one's most recent marathon time, the best predictor is how many miles you think you can do. The favorite formula here is 320- marathon time in minutes = miles in 24 hrs. My last marathon was bad (and a long time ago), but still gives 124 miles. What do I think I can do? Whatever it takes to stay ahead of Julie Berg!
I'm finally over the sinus infection that followed the cold I had and my left ankle is holding up nicely (I tested it on some trails). I had some hamstring problems from running hard downhill, but that seems to be clearing up as well.
Most importantly, in my personal life, I'm having a good week. I'm happy.
My prediction: 109.
Of course, I've not been close on any prediction yet. Let's hope I'm underestimating for once - the record's 136.01
Oh, and I predict Julie's going to win the women's division this year.
Favorite new joke: The latest version of Guitar Hero is way too hard. All the songs are by Les Paul and Robert Fripp.
[It's only funny to guitarists.]
Ultra Loony in jeopardy?
1 day ago